Evansville Aces vs SIU Edwardsville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evansville Aces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 2
MSB
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 0
LYR
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 4
DKB
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LYR
3 - 0
EVA
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 4
MSB
6%
13%
80%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
SIU Edwardsville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SIU
3 - 4
BLB
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SIU
0 - 1
MSB
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SIU
3 - 2
NIH
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WMB
2 - 3
SIU
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIH
2 - 0
SIU
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |