Evansville Aces vs Missouri State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
78.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evansville Aces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 0
LYR
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 4
DKB
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LYR
3 - 0
EVA
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 4
MSB
6%
13%
80%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
DKB
2 - 1
EVA
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Missouri State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SIU
0 - 1
MSB
16%
19%
66%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 0
MSB
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MLT
1 - 2
MSB
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
1 - 0
LYR
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
3 - 1
BLB
90%
8%
3%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |