Europa Point vs Mons Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
LRI
4 - 0
EUR
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EUR
2 - 1
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 1
LIO
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 1
EUR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EUR
1 - 3
GLA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
CEU
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
3 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
GIB
65%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LYN
0 - 4
MON
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
JOS
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |