Europa Point vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
4º
5º
19
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 4
GLA
18%
20%
63%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
LYN
5 - 1
EUR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 6
JOS
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
EUR
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
3 - 2
MAN
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
LIO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 3
CEU
4%
11%
85%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
LRI
6 - 0
LIO
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
5 - 1
COL
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |