Europa Point vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MAG
3 - 0
EUR
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
EUR
2 - 1
COL
50%
21%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
EUR
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 3
LYN
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
EUR
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 3
LRI
4%
9%
88%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
LIO
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
MAN
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LYN
2 - 0
LIO
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
EUR
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |