Europa Point vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CEU
13 - 1
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEU
2 - 0
EUR
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 6
GLA
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 0
GIB
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LYN
3 - 0
EUR
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 3
JOS
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PHO
2 - 0
LIO
25%
22%
53%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CEU
1 - 0
LIO
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 0
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |