Europa Point vs College 1975 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
EUR
0 - 4
MAG
10%
15%
75%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 2
EUR
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EUR
1 - 6
JOS
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CEU
3 - 0
EUR
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
EUR
1 - 1
LYN
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JOS
5 - 0
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
COL
4 - 0
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 3
COL
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LIO
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 0
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |