Europa Point vs College 1975 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
EUR
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 3
LYN
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
EUR
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
EUR
1 - 5
LRI
10%
18%
73%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
JOS
6 - 0
EUR
79%
13%
7%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
LIO
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
LYN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GLA
0 - 0
COL
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
COL
0 - 2
MAG
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |