Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Europa de Nava vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa de Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CAU
3 - 0
ENA
53%
27%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ENA
0 - 3
ROB
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ROB
1 - 2
ENA
62%
23%
15%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ENA
2 - 2
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ENA
2 - 0
GIN
68%
20%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ALA
3 - 0
OVI
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
OVI
3 - 0
LIN
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ALM
1 - 1
OVI
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
OVI
1 - 1
MUR
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
LIN
1 - 1
OVI
57%
25%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |