Europa B vs Cerdanyola FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
17º
12º
17
7º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 68 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 48 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 38 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Europa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CFR
1 - 1
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EUR
2 - 2
SAB
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 1
EUR
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EUR
0 - 3
GIR
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
EUR
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cerdanyola FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
CEA
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PER
0 - 3
CER
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
MOL
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HOS
1 - 1
CER
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
LES
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |