UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-8
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Saturn Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SAT
7 - 0
ETZ
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
LOK
2 - 2
ETZ
30%
23%
46%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ETZ
0 - 0
LOK
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ETZ
3 - 0
LXC
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
ETZ
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
SAT
0 - 0
FKM
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SAT
7 - 0
ETZ
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAT
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SAT
2 - 0
DIN
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
PER
1 - 0
SAT
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |