ETSV Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
5º
3
14º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 78 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
0 - 5
ETH
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
4 - 5
EIM
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
36%
24%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
9 - 1
VOW
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 6
ETH
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 4
HAM
79%
12%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
6 - 3
SUD
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 6
DAS
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 1
SUD
23%
19%
58%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
PAL
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |