ETSV Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
66.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
12º
3º
48
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
4 - 4
ETH
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VHG
1 - 1
ETH
80%
11%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 1
ALT
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 3
ETH
64%
18%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
ETH
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAS
3 - 0
SUD
79%
13%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
THA
59%
19%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 2
ATB
82%
11%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |