CAF Champions
Global 2-0
Etoile Sahel vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ETO
3 - 1
JSK
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ETO
47%
29%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
RCA
0 - 1
ETO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ETO
2 - 0
CSS
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
CAB
0 - 1
ETO
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
RCA
0 - 0
IRT
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
RCA
1 - 1
MOU
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
UTS
0 - 1
RCA
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
RCA
0 - 1
ETO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 3
RCA
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +2 |