Confederation Cup Final
Global 2-1
Etoile Sahel vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PIR
1 - 1
ETO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
ETO
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 1
CAB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CSH
0 - 1
ETO
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
ETO
33%
30%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PIR
1 - 1
ETO
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 2
PIR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
PIR
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
PIR
0 - 2
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |