Etoile Sahel vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
14º
10º
6
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
0 | 52 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 44 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 44 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 39 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
2.5% | 22% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
4% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 4
STA
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
ETO
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
CSS
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
STA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AHL
0 - 1
ETO
8%
17%
76%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
ASD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 2
OLY
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
BEN
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 3
OLY
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |