Etoile Sahel vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 3
ETO
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
ETO
2 - 1
ZES
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CLU
4 - 1
ETO
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
ETO
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 1
ETO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 3
ETO
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
PRI
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VOV
1 - 5
MBA
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 4
MBA
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |