CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-1
Etoile Sahel vs Fello Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FEL
0 - 1
ETO
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
STA
0 - 0
ETO
54%
27%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
ETO
4 - 2
ZAR
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 0
ETO
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CSH
1 - 1
ETO
49%
30%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fello Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FEL
0 - 1
ETO
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
FEL
0 - 0
SPR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FEL
0 - 1
FAR
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
KIN
2 - 0
FEL
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ASD
3 - 1
FEL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |