Etoile Sahel vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
3º
12
8º
9º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
ETO
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
OLY
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
ASS
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
ETO
41%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CLU
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 1
CLU
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |