Etoile Sahel vs Club Africain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
13º
5º
34
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
18.5% | 23% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
15.5% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 0
JSO
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 3
ETO
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 0
GAB
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ETO
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Club Africain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
CAB
55%
27%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 2
CLU
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
3 - 0
ETO
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANB
0 - 1
CLU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
CLU
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |