CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Etoile Sahel vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ETO
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
USM
0 - 1
ETO
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ETO
3 - 0
GAB
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 2
ETO
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TRI
4 - 1
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
TRI
3 - 0
ALH
61%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TRI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
USM
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |