Etoile Metlaoui vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
USM
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASS
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
TAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
OLY
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FMK
1 - 3
OLY
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |