Etoile Metlaoui vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
10º
11º
32
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
ETO
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CAB
49%
29%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 2
ETO
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
CSS
46%
30%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
ESP
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSS
0 - 1
ESP
37%
31%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 1
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |