Etoile Metlaoui vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
EGS
3 - 1
TAT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 2
EGS
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 6
STA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |