Etoile Metlaoui vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
29.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
27
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
USM
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASS
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 2
CAB
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 0
CAB
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |