Etoile Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
12º
8º
14
12º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 0
ETO
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
ETO
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
ETO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
ESP
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ETO
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
STA
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 0
BEN
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
TAT
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
BEN
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |