Etoile Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +2 |