Etoile Metlaoui vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
16
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 3
USM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESP
20%
27%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |