Etoile Metlaoui vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
10º
11º
5
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 3
USM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CSS
2 - 0
ETO
39%
30%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 2
ESP
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESP
20%
27%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 3
USM
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CSS
3 - 0
ASD
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |