Etoile de Kivu vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile de Kivu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
REN
0 - 2
KIV
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KIV
1 - 0
ASK
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
KIV
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
KIV
0 - 3
RAN
47%
29%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
KIV
0 - 1
AIG
71%
20%
9%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 1
MOT
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 2
REN
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
MOT
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
CEL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 3
VCL
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |