Etoile Carouge vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
FCG
0 - 1
ETO
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
ETO
1 - 2
YOB
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
STG
0 - 0
ETO
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
CSC
1 - 2
ETO
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ETO
1 - 0
YFJ
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
STG
1 - 0
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
WIN
1 - 5
LAC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
LAU
3 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
WIN
1 - 1
YOB
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |