Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
5º
19
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
STA
5 - 1
ETO
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
FCV
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
STA
2 - 4
ETO
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 2
ETO
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 2
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
STA
2 - 4
ETO
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |