Etoile Carouge vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BUL
2 - 2
ETO
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ETO
1 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UGS
0 - 2
ETO
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 0
NAT
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TPA
1 - 3
ETO
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SER
2 - 3
LOC
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SER
2 - 2
WOH
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CSC
0 - 4
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |