Etoile Carouge vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SEC
1 - 3
ETO
32%
23%
46%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ETO
1 - 4
STA
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
YOU
3 - 1
ETO
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ETO
2 - 2
LAU
70%
17%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FRI
3 - 6
ETO
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAT
0 - 1
YVE
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NAT
5 - 0
SEC
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
NAT
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAT
0 - 2
YOU
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 1
NAT
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |