Etoile Carouge vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DEL
0 - 1
ETO
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 5
STG
7%
17%
76%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
ETO
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
BIE
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KRI
2 - 2
LUG
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
BIE
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UZU
1 - 5
LUG
12%
17%
71%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | -1 |