Etoile Carouge vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 0
ETO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
ETO
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 3
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
THU
1 - 1
ETO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
ETO
2 - 1
SCH
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 1
DEL
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 3
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |