Etoile Carouge vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
LAU
1 - 0
ETO
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 0
YVE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
KRI
0 - 0
ETO
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 1
ZUR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
DEL
1 - 1
ETO
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
YOB
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 2
ZUR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
YVE
2 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
DEL
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |