Etoile Carouge vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KRI
3 - 0
ETO
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETO
1 - 1
WOH
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SIO
2 - 1
ETO
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ETO
2 - 0
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
DEL
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SCB
1 - 1
FRI
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 3
OLD
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 0
YVE
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |