Etoile Carouge vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
YOB
1 - 1
ETO
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 0
ETO
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 2
LUG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 0
ETO
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
ETO
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
DEL
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |