Etoile Carouge vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
ETO
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ETO
1 - 0
BUL
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 2
ETO
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ETO
1 - 1
UGS
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAT
4 - 1
ETO
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
BAV
4 - 3
MEY
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CSC
1 - 2
BAV
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 2
DUD
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ECH
2 - 2
BAV
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
YOU
2 - 3
BAV
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |