Etoile Carouge vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
ZUR
3 - 0
ETO
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
ETO
3 - 7
LAU
20%
24%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ETO
1 - 2
SER
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FCL
1 - 1
ETO
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 1
LAU
36%
25%
38%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
GCZ
3 - 2
BAS
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 4
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |