Etoile Carouge vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ETO
0 - 1
YOB
36%
26%
37%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
NEX
0 - 0
ETO
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ETO
2 - 3
SOL
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
KRI
2 - 1
ETO
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
SER
5 - 1
ETO
79%
14%
6%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
0 - 1
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
BAD
2 - 1
YOB
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
NEX
5 - 0
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAD
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |