Ethiopia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 0
ETH
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CIV
3 - 1
ETH
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 0
RSA
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NAM
2 - 0
ZIM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZIM
22%
26%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |