Ethiopia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
ETH
0 - 1
GRC
38%
22%
40%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
ETH
1 - 5
ISR
39%
22%
39%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1970 |
CIV
6 - 1
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CMR
3 - 2
ETH
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1970 |
SDN
3 - 0
ETH
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1975 |
MWI
2 - 1
UGA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1975 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
57%
20%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ZAM
0 - 1
UGA
59%
19%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1974 |
TAN
5 - 3
UGA
57%
19%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
UGA
1 - 1
SOM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |