Ethiopia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
48%
21%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ETH
3 - 2
UGA
67%
18%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1965 |
SEN
5 - 1
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1965 |
TUN
4 - 0
ETH
77%
13%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
TUN
3 - 2
ETH
66%
17%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ETH
3 - 2
UGA
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1967 |
TAN
1 - 2
UGA
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
KEN
3 - 1
UGA
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1966 |
COD
5 - 0
UGA
73%
15%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
COD
6 - 2
UGA
72%
15%
13%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |