Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ETH
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
GUY
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 2
SLE
12%
17%
72%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
GNB
2 - 1
SLE
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 3
NGA
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
14%
19%
67%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |