Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ETH
1 - 1
BDI
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SDN
0 - 0
ETH
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ETH
3 - 0
DJI
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DJI
1 - 5
ETH
11%
15%
74%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
IRN
4 - 0
SLE
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 1
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SLE
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SLE
2 - 1
KEN
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
LBR
1 - 0
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |