Ethiopia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1963 |
GHA
2 - 0
ETH
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1963 |
SEN
1 - 2
ETH
66%
17%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
ETH
0 - 0
TUR
42%
21%
38%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1962 |
GRC
3 - 2
ETH
65%
17%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
TUR
3 - 0
ETH
69%
16%
15%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
GHA
1 - 1
TUN
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1963 |
TUN
3 - 1
SYR
65%
17%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SEN
1 - 1
TUN
49%
21%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAD
76%
13%
11%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |