Ethiopia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 1
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 5
ETH
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
SDN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
SDN
2 - 1
COD
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MTN
3 - 0
SDN
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 1
SDN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
EGY
1 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |