Ethiopia vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
ETH
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
ETH
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 3
ETH
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CGO
1 - 1
KEN
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 0
SSD
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 0
KEN
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 2
KEN
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
KEN
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |